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Half a million hectares of new forests will be planted each year from now till 2020 at a cost of IDR 2.5 trillion (USD$269 million) per year, according to Forestry Minister Zulkifli Hasan. He said that Indonesia could expand forest cover by up to 21 million hectares by 2020 (see table 1).1
Officially, there are 130 million hectares of forests in Indonesia, but by the minister's own admission, only 48 million hectares are in good condition.2
In September last year, President SBY promised that Indonesia would reduce emissions by 26% against business as usual projections by 2020. He said that cuts could reach 41% with international support.3
A new Ministry of Forestry document shows how it aims to follow up SBY's commitment and it fills in some of the detail to the minister's January announcement on new forests. Based as it is on targets for reducing emissions, the main focus is on targets for achieving a range of forestry department sub-programmes, broken down by province, year and target land to be covered. The end result is a sea of figures.
Emissions figuresThe DNPI projected that the country's total level of carbon emissions under a 'business as usual' scenario would be 2.8Gt by 2020 and 3.6Gt by 2030.iv It calculated that taking action to reduce emissions in the main GHG-emitting sectors would reduce projected levels to 2.3 Gt by 2030 - back to the official level for 2005. i Summary for Policy Makers: Indonesia Second National Communication under the United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). This document refers to previous estimates of land use change and forestry (LUCF) and peat fires and explains why its estimates are lower (page 5).
ii DTE 83
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It is hard to see how this top-down target-driven approach squares with the complex local realities on the ground, where land classified as forests by the forestry ministry in Jakarta may be part of an indigenous community's customary territory, or where other overlapping claims for access and resources may make any forestry programme extremely problematic to implement or sustain on the ground. It is also difficult to see how such an approach can accommodate the demands for consultation and participation from civil society and fulfil the country's international obligations relating to human rights (including indigenous rights) and economic and social.4
Whether or not planting new forests will do anything to help cut emissions is seriously doubtful too: plantation companies are still getting permits to develop plantations in existing forests, so they actually destroy efficient carbon storage systems, rather than create new ones. Going on past experience, the success rate for developing new timber plantations is very low, so that original carbon absorption capacity is not even being replaced in a limited way. Even then, it is not as if these much-reduced carbon stores will be left untouched. First they will be used for industry (pulp, ply, other wood products, biomass energy) and there is no guarantee that they will be replanted, if it no longer suits the developer to do so.
An August 2009 article by Chris Lang, the editor of www.redd-monitor.org focuses on another important argument against plantations as carbon sinks - the risk of fire.
"Imagine the following situation: a polluting company in the North pays a "carbon neutral" seller that promises to "offset" its emissions by planting trees. Let's assume that the trees are in fact planted and that they do absorb the entire amount of carbon emitted by the polluting company. Six years later, the plantation goes up in fire. The result will be that the burnt plantation will have released the entire amount of carbon that is was supposed to "offset". Which means that the plantation's only use was to allow polluting the company to avoid investing in what is most necessary from a climate perspective: cutting emissions."5
Of course forests can't just be seen as carbon stores: viewing them in this way is to make the same mistake made in the past which viewed them merely as timber stands. If all forests' social, economic, cultural, biodiversity and ecological functions are taken into account, it becomes even more obvious how vital it is to prevent their destruction in the first place. When they are lost, the impacts on local communities are devastating and multifaceted - on top of the loss of carbon involved. Yet more destruction is embedded in the forestry ministry's plans, including 420,000 hectares per year to be converted to oil palm plantations and other uses (see below).
When is a forest not a forest?A matter of days later, a senior forestry ministry official announced that Indonesia was preparing a new decree to include oil palm plantations in the forestry sector, and to define oil palm plantations as forest. The move was aimed at anticipating the implementation of REDD (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation) schemes, he said.ii Though forestry minister Zulkifli Hasan denied any such plan a few days later, the news caused a similar condemnation in Indonesia as the EC leak did in Europe. Environmental groups WALHI and Greenpeace expressed concern that yet more deforestation would result. According to a carbon broker quoted by Point Carbon News, Indonesia would find it hard to sell carbon credits generated by oil palm plantations, if it was agreed that these plantations should qualify for REDD schemes. "I really doubt that any country, especially European countries, would be willing to support the development of oil palm plantation as part of REDD, or to buy any carbon credits from oil palm plantation through REDD", said Paul Butarbutar from South Pole Carbon Asset Management.iii The definition of a forest was among the controversial issues at Copenhagen in December, and remains unresolved. The UNFCCC uses the definition of forest adopted by the FAO, which includes tree plantations. Indonesia's own legal definition (in the 1999 Forestry Law, for example) does not include plantations, even though timber and pulpwood plantations are considered part of the forest estate.iv Indonesian CSOs have also been highly critical of a separate plan drafted by the forestry ministry to charge IDR1 million (ca USD100) for each hectare of forest already converted to oil palm plantations.v
i FoE Press release 3/Feb/10
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The information is presented as the ministry's follow-up to SBY's commitment of 26% reduction on business as usual (BAU) projections by 2020. The forestry sector has been asked to reduce emissions on BAU by 14% (=52% of the 26% target).
According to the document, this follow-up includes:
The targets for increasing carbon stock are broken down per year and per forestry scheme (see table 1) and then again per province per year per scheme. The figures indicate that industrial timber and people's timber plantations (HTI & HTR) have the highest 2020 target of 5.8 million hectares, followed by logging concession restoration (5.75 million ha), and community and village forests (5.5 million ha).
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Year | Community & Village Forests (ha) | Rehabilitating Forests and Land in Water Catchment Areas (ha) | Industrial Timber Plantations and People's Timber Plantations (ha) | Logging Concession Restoration (ha) | People's Partnership Forests (ha) | Total (ha) |
2010 | 500,000 | 300,000 | 450,000 | 300,000 | 50,000 | 1,600,000 |
2011 | 500,000 | 300,000 | 550,000 | 350,000 | 50,000 | 1,750,000 |
2012 | 500,000 | 300,000 | 500,000 | 450,000 | 50,000 | 1,800,000 |
2013 | 500,000 | 350,000 | 600,000 | 650,000 | 50,000 | 2,150,000 |
2014 | 500,000 | 350,000 | 550,000 | 750,000 | 50,000 | 2,200,000 |
2015 | 500,000 | 300,000 | 450,000 | 300,000 | 50,000 | 1,600,000 |
2016 | 500,000 | 300,000 | 550,000 | 350,000 | 50,000 | 1,750,000 |
2017 | 500,000 | 300,000 | 500,000 | 450,000 | 50,000 | 1,800,000 |
2018 | 500,000 | 350,000 | 600,000 | 650,000 | 50,000 | 2,150,000 |
2019 | 500,000 | 350,000 | 550,000 | 750,000 | 50,000 | 2,200,000 |
2019 | 500,000 | 350,000 | 550,000 | 750,000 | 50,000 | 2,200,000 |
2020 | 500,000 | 350,000 | 500,000 | 750,000 | 50,000 | 2,150,000 |
Total (ha) | 5,500,000 | 3,550,000 | 5,800,000 | 5,750,000 | 5,750,000 | 21,150,000 |
Details of the timber plantation schemes (HTI & HTR) show that for the first five years (2010-2014), a total of 2,698,800 hectares is targeted for planting. Of the nineteen provinces targeted, West Kalimantan has by far the highest allocation of 585,000 hectares, followed by Papua with 250,000 ha, South Sumatra with 412,550 ha, and then jointly East Kalimantan and Riau with 240,000 ha each (see Table 2).9
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No | Province | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 5-year total |
1 | Riau | 50,000 | 50,000 | 45,000 | 45,000 | 50,000 | 240,000 |
2 | Jambi | 47,000 | 42,500 | 52,000 | 46,500 | 41,000 | 229,000 |
3 | South Sumatra | 85,000 | 84,550 | 79,000 | 84,500 | 79,500 | 412,550 |
4 | Lampung | 11,500 | 41,000 | 31,500 | 36,550 | 36,500 | 157,050 |
5 | West Kalimantan | 125,000 | 120,000 | 100,000 | 120,000 | 120,000 | 585,000 |
6 | South Kalimantan | 22,000 | 37,400 | 17,500 | 47,550 | 42,500 | 166,950 |
7 | East Kalimantan | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 40,000 | 50,000 | 240,000 |
8 | West Nusa Tenggara | 10,500 | 10,400 | 10,450 | 20,450 | 15,400 | 67,200 |
9 | East Nusa Tenggara | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 40,000 | 25,000 | 140,000 |
10 | Maluku | 5,000 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 30,000 | 10,000 | 65,000 |
11 | Papua | 40,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 60,000 | 50,000 | 250,000 |
12 | North Sumatra | 4,000 | 4,500 | 4,000 | 4,550 | 4,500 | 21,550 |
13 | West Sumatra | 1,500 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,500 | 1,250 | 6,500 |
14 | Central Kalimantan | 2,500 | 2,000 | 2,200 | 2,000 | 2,250 | 10,950 |
15 | Yogyakarta | 100 | 150 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 550 |
16 | South Sulawesi | 5,000 | 5,500 | 6,000 | 6,500 | 6,500 | 29,500 |
17 | Southeast Sulawesi | 12,000 | 11,000 | 11,000 | 10,500 | 10,000 | 54,500 |
18 | North Sulawesi | 3,000 | 2,500 | 2,000 | 2,500 | 2,000 | 12,000 |
19 | North Maluku | 1,500 | 2,000 | 2,000 | 2,500 | 2,500 | 10,500 |
Total | 500,600 | 549,500 | 499,000 | 600,700 | 549,000 | 2,698,800 |
The MoF document also gives projections for "use of forest areas" for gold, nickel, oil & gas, coal, tin and other minerals, plus non-mining land uses such as roads, communications and defence and security facilities for the Indonesian military.
The 2004-2009 total for this kind of forest use is given as 1,197,727 hectares and the projection for 2010-2020 is 200,000 hectares per year, bringing the overall total to 3,397,727 hectares. The MoF is therefore working on the basis that an additional 2.2 million hectares will be given over to such uses between now and the end of the current decade.
Forest fires are also scheduled to decline from a projected 25,566 "hotspots" in 2010 to a mere 2,745 in 2020. In terms of CO2e reductions this is estimated at a gradual decline from 0.8 million tonnes of CO2e in 2009 to 0.2 million tonnes CO2e in 2015. Overall, the MoF scenario shows how the forestry sector becomes a net carbon sink rather than net emitter, if the MoF strategic plan is followed. Total emissions from forests are put at 1.24 Gigatonnes of CO2e, whereas forests will be able absorb 1.31 Gigatonnes under this plan.
Three pieces of REDD legislation have been passed14 in the last two years and five pilot projects, (from over 20 planned REDD projects across the country) have formally recorded by the MoF (see box). These five schemes were officially launched in January 2010.
However, there has been vociferous opposition from civil society organisations to REDD related to carbon trading and offsetting, as well as to the government's plans for managing REDD projects in Indonesia. As well as serious concerns over corruption of REDD money,15 there are deep-seated fears that local communities could end up worse off under REDD.
Bernadinus Steni, from the Jakarta-based CSO, HuMa, visited a REDD pilot project in West Kalimantan recently. He reported that things are getting "messy" there, "with promises of large inflows of money and infrastructure development creating both great hope and extreme concern among local communities".16
"No REDD without rights!" was the campaign slogan of indigenous and civil society activists from around the world at the Bangkok and Copenhagen UNFCCC climate talks last year, and this applies especially well to the situation in Indonesia. One of the basic concerns with REDD is that indigenous rights are likely to be sidelined, or ignored completely, because at national level, recognition and protection of these rights is still sorely inadequate. Indonesia's REDD regulations do in theory allow indigenous communities to manage REDD projects, but in practice, the lack of national-level legislation to recognise such communities means that this is all but impossible to put into practice.17
The official pilot projects
i http://www.whrc.org/policy/pdf/AnOverviewofReadinessforREDD.pdf#search="Readiness" More background on other projects can be found in DTE 79 and DTE 82, including a critique of Australia's REDD plans which focused on carbon trading and offsetting. A new report by Friends of the Earth (FoE) Australia and Aid/Watch is also highly critical of the plans - see 'New Report exposes Australia's REDD offsets scam' on www.redd-monitor.org, which regularly posts updates on REDD projects in Indonesia and elsewhere. In February, Australia announced a further REDD demonstration project in Jambi, Sumatra ('REDD in the news: 1-7 March 2010', www.redd-monitor.org). It was immediately criticised by FoE Australia and Indonesia (WALHI) as an attempt to offset Australia's carbon emissions (Media Release 11/Mar/2010). Updates on REDD projects are also posted on the REDDI website: redd-indonesia.org/en/
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Indonesia's poor record on upholding indigenous rights, and on consulting indigenous peoples and local communities affected by development schemes was also highlighted by CSOs last year. The indigenous peoples alliance AMAN and oil palm advocacy network Sawit Watch wrote to the FCPF arguing that Indonesia's R-PP (the plan which demonstrates that a country has prepared for REDD) did not meet the FCPF criteria and should not be accepted until improvements had been made.19 They also critiqued the FCPF approval process which failed to take into account key World Bank safeguard policies which offer some protections for communities.20
The Indonesian CSO HuMa also wrote to the FCPF to underline the R-PP's failure to recognise the lack of recognition for indigenous rights in the Indonesian forestry law. The group also raised concern about the Forestry Department's mandate, considering its notoriously bad record in governance and persistence in continuing with damaging policies left over from the Suharto era.
Indonesia's R-PP plan has still not been accepted, although CSOs suspect that the FCPF is planning to accept it soon, after compromise procedures have been worked out that make it easier for controversial cases like Indonesia to fulfil acceptance criteria. The signs are that FCPF wants Indonesia in its scheme despite all the objections and problems, because it is too important a player not to be in it.
Progress reports both from FCPF and Indonesia's Ministry of Forestry posted on the FCPF website indicate that key issues remaining to be resolved include consultation with affected communities. According to the FCPF, remaining issues include agreement on what the FCPF grant will cover, agreement on the application of a Strategic Environmental and Social Assessment and Agreement on a plan for consultation and participation. Under a section called "main remaining issues" the FCPF reports lists participation of indigenous peoples and CSOs, and says that customary and land access rights have been highlighted by groups as the main issue. It also mentions a request for more qualitative participation, capacity-building and coordination of activities.21 A corresponding MoF report only mentions that stakeholder communication is "ongoing".22
REDD at CopenhagenThe Copenhagen Accord, was the most prominent - though highly controversial and extremely weak - official output of the underwhelming UNFCCC summit in December 2009. The Accord refers to the immediate establishment of a mechanism including REDD+. REDD negotiations continued in the REDD sub-group under the AWG-LCA (Adhoc Working Group on Long Term Cooperative Action) and agreed on many sections of the negotiating text, including references to the UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP) - a major breakthrough. However, three intractable issues - global targets and financing regimes, reporting on safeguards and national/subnational carbon accounting & leakage - remained and no final agreement was reached by the COP Plenary.i Upcoming UNFCCC meetings relating to REDD include meetings in Bonn, Germany in April and in May-June 2010. For more details see UNFCCC website at unfccc.int/files/methods_science/redd/application/msexcel/20100112_redd_meetings_events_calendar.xls. i See Forest talks at a standstill as Copenhagen ends without agreement', Forest Watch Special Report, FERN January 2010, via www.redd-monitor.org
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Following a sustained lobbying effort, the Poznan climate summit (COP 14) in 2008 first saw Indonesia's delegation leader Rachmat Witoelar mention the importance of respecting Indigenous Peoples rights in schemes to halt deforestation, though this did not translate to action at national level.23
A December 2009 workshop on communal rights co-hosted by AMAN and the Ministry of Environment resulted in the new environment minister saying that the government was likely to recognise communal rights and the role of indigenous people in environmental management and protection.24 The step follows the country's new Environment Law (No 32/2009), which stipulates that attention should be paid to recognising indigenous peoples and their traditional knowledge and rights in environmental management and protection.25
The following month, AMAN and the environment minister signed an agreement committing AMAN and the ministry to work together to "increase the role of indigenous people in protecting and managing the environment". The cooperation includes: identifying indigenous peoples and their rights, empowering indigenous peoples and exchanging information about them.26 The agreement was signed in front of 35 indigenous leaders, according to a ministry press release. This also said that follow up would include draft policies to empower and to recognise local expertise; developing criteria and methods to identify indigenous communities; setting up a database of adat (indigenous) communities and local knowledge, plus a range of activities to empower indigenous communities.27
Thanks to Bernadinus Steni from HuMa, www.huma.or.id who offered advice on this article. He is drafting a report on REDD in Indonesia for the next Accra Caucus meeting.
Thanks also to Patrick Anderson for his comments.
Note: this article has been slightly amended from the version in the print and PDF edition of the newsletter.